Hispanics walk away from Abortion Day, gun control and January 6
IIt’s not every day that a politician’s gaffe perfectly encapsulates his party’s growing separation from a community that has been a vital part of his electoral coalition. But Dr. Jill Biden made just such a misstep on Tuesday when she said that Hispanics in the United States were as “distinct as the bogidas of the Bronx” (meaning “bodegas”) and also ” unique than the breakfast tacos here in San Antonio.”
Wow. Univision spent an entire segment denouncing the speech on the same day. The National Association of Hispanic Journalists responded in a tweet: “We are not tacos.”
No wonder Hispanic voters are shifting so quickly from their traditional Democratic home to the Republican Party. Already, a series of local and state elections in South Texas have confirmed this trend. But one of the first to notice it was Democratic strategist Ruy Teixeira, co-author of the political classic The Emerging Democratic Majority. When he co-wrote this book with John Judis in 2002, the two envisioned a Democratic-dominated future based on a political coalition of high-end professionals and racial and ethnic minorities.
What he’s noticed since then is that typically conservative Hispanic attitudes are really starting to show up in the election results.
Teixeira examined several of these attitudes last week
in a long blog post
. One after another, he compared reactions to various statements in polls of self-proclaimed “very progressive” voters versus Hispanics. For example, when given the choice between “America is not the greatest country in the world” and “America is the greatest country in the world”, voters who describe themselves as “strong progressives agree with the former, 66% to 28%, while Hispanics disagree, 23% to 70%. Incredibly, there is only a one percentage point difference between “working class” voters and Hispanics on this question.
The striking similarity also extends to several other cultural issues. Hispanics’ overwhelming rejection of the idea of ”systemic racism” (58%) mirrored almost exactly that of working-class voters as a whole (57%).
Whether the issue is transgender (they are strongly against it), funding for policing (they are strongly for it), or the belief that hard work breeds success in personal life (they strongly embrace it), Hispanics, again and again, resemble “working class” in their attitudes and not “progressives” at all.
Even when not identical to “working class” attitudes, Hispanic attitudes are still very different from those of “strong progressives”. On immigration, for example, 97% of “strong progressives” prefer easier immigration to stricter enforcement. Hispanics are evenly split on the issue, 44% to 47%.
As Teixeira puts it, “strong progressives clearly live in a different world than Hispanic and working-class voters.” That’s an understatement.
It worries him for a Democratic Party that is obsessively trying to contest this year’s election on just three issues: abortion, gun control and a Capitol riot that took place more than 16 years ago. month.
The fact is, while Democrats have spent the last 10 years shouting that Republicans are racist, Republicans have built a multi-ethnic coalition of culturally conservative voters. According to a recent
New York Times/Poll of the College of Siena. The party of unions and blue collar workers has become the party of the privileged and the haves.
The Democrats have gotten rid of any pretense of moderation. They insulted and in some cases expelled their centrist members. And they now risk losing Hispanic voters the same way they lost so many Irish and Italian Democrat families in the ‘acid, amnesty and abortion’ era of the 1970s – in treating them as votes they deserve rather than votes they must earn.